Is COVID-19 Becoming Endemic in India? An In-Depth Analysis?
As of June 2025, India is experiencing a notable shift in its battle against COVID-19. The virus, once a formidable pandemic force, is now transitioning into an endemic phase within the country. This evolution signifies a change in how the virus interacts with the population and how public health strategies are formulated.
Understanding Endemicity
An endemic disease is one that is consistently present within a specific geographic area or population but typically at manageable levels. Unlike a pandemic, which involves widespread outbreaks across countries or continents, an endemic disease maintains a steady state without causing large-scale disruptions. Examples of endemic diseases in India include malaria and dengue.
Current COVID-19 Scenario in India
Rising Active Cases
As of June 2, 2025, India has reported 3,961 active COVID-19 cases, a significant increase from 257 cases recorded on May 22. This surge is primarily attributed to emerging sub-variants such as NB.1.8.1 and LF.7, which have shown increased transmissibility. Despite the rise in cases, the majority are mild and do not require hospitalization.
Regional Variations
Certain states are experiencing higher case numbers. Kerala leads with the highest number of active cases, followed by Maharashtra and Delhi. These regions are under close observation to manage and contain the spread effectively.
Government and Expert Perspectives
Official Statements
Union Health Minister Mansukh Mandaviya has indicated that COVID-19 is on the verge of becoming endemic in India. He emphasized that while the situation is stabilizing, vigilance remains crucial to monitor and respond to any new variants that may emerge.
Expert Opinions
Health experts concur that India is transitioning into an endemic phase concerning COVID-19. Dr. Chandrakant Lahariya, an epidemiologist, notes that the risk of a future severe wave is very low, and the share of Indians requiring hospitalization due to COVID-19 has become almost negligible.
Public Health Implications
Continued Surveillance
Despite the transition to endemicity, continuous monitoring of COVID-19 cases and variants remains essential. The Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) is actively conducting genome sequencing to detect and analyze new variants.
Healthcare Preparedness
Hospitals and healthcare facilities are maintaining readiness to manage potential surges. Isolation wards and COVID-19 screening zones are being kept operational, especially in regions witnessing a rise in cases.
Public Awareness
Public health campaigns continue to emphasize the importance of vaccination, hygiene practices, and responsible behavior to prevent the spread of the virus.
Conclusion
India’s journey with COVID-19 is entering a new phase. The virus’s transition to endemicity reflects the country’s resilience and the effectiveness of public health interventions. While the threat of COVID-19 has diminished, it is imperative to maintain vigilance, adapt to new developments, and continue efforts to safeguard public health.
